Intelligent Investment

U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook 2022

Despite uncertainty from the omicron variant and other risks, a growing economy will fuel demand for space and increase real estate investment across all property types

December 8, 2021 46 Minute Read


Looking for a PDF of this content?

2022 U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook Event Recording

Realizing Potential in Tomorrow's Economy

Watch Event Recording

U.S. commercial real estate is set for an active 2022 amid robust economic growth and higher demand from both occupiers and investors across all property types. We anticipate a record year of investment activity, with intense investor competition, powered by abundant capital and liquid debt markets, driving up values—even as interest rates rise as monetary policy tightens.

We foresee a record year for commercial real estate investment, enabled by high levels of low-cost debt availability and new players drawn to real estate debt’s attractive risk-adjusted returns. Commercial real estate values will rise, particularly for sought-after industrial and multifamily assets. Investors will sharpen their focus on emerging opportunities in the office and retail sectors in search of better returns.

The supply/demand balance in the office sector will remain highly favorable for occupiers, but the pace of recovery will pick up following a sluggish 2021. With hybrid work the new normal, office properties with amenities that enhance employee collaboration, connection and wellness will fare best.

Retail, by contrast, is seeing the effects of a longer-term transition, which has included pricing adjustments, low levels of new construction and beneficial investment in the best experiential and convenience-led centers. Sales-to-square footage ratios are surging and the demographic- and pandemic-induced shift to the suburbs will favor grocery-anchored and neighborhood centers. With strong forward returns now achievable, we anticipate a decade-high level of retail investment volume in 2022.

Industrial & logistics hardly broke step during the pandemic as e-commerce surged. 2022 will see slower demand for physical goods as the service sector reopens and attracts more consumer spending. This will give supply a chance to catch up with demand. Third-party logistics operators are beginning to dominate the sector and are looking to get ever closer to the end consumer.

Multifamily will continue its recovery in 2022, with downtown locations returning to pre-pandemic occupancy levels. Single-family rentals in the suburbs will also fare well as some millennials leave the city to raise families.

A notable trend in the second half of 2022 will be the return of downtowns. As business and tourist travel picks up, we will see a sharp revival in the hotel sector in gateway cities, alongside the already recovering food & beverage sector. This, in turn, will stimulate the return to the office and the fuller recovery of downtown life.

The outlook for real estate in 2022 is positive, with big cities potentially surprising on the upside. Amid this recovery, ESG, demographics, digitization and decarbonization will take on a new importance.

We have produced this report to help you navigate the macro environment we expect in 2022 and look forward to working with you in the new year.

The outlook for real estate in 2022 is positive, with big cities potentially surprising on the upside.

Continue to Chapter 1: The Economy

Image of city streets

Research Leadership

Related Insights

Related Services

  • Gain proactive insights and strategies that unlock value, drive returns and enhance outcomes for your real estat...

  • Property Type


    Use the world’s most comprehensive real estate services platform to find innovative solutions for your needs as a corporate occupier or office investor.

  • Property Type

    Retail Services

    With integrated solutions, unique insight, and unmatched experience, we deliver successful outcomes for retailers, restaurateurs, investors, owners, a...

  • We represent the largest industrial real estate platform in the world, offering an integrated suite of services for occupiers and investors.

  • Property Type


    Unlock the potential of your residential real estate with expert investment, financing, valuation, due diligence, design, management and leasing strat...

  • CBRE Hotels delivers bottom-line impact to hotel clients globally by providing advisory, capital markets, investment sales, research & valuation s...

  • Optimize your data center real estate with worldwide consulting, advisory and transaction, project management an...